Prof. Dr. Jan Oliver Schwarz

+49 841 9348-3511

JanOliver.Schwarz@thi.de

Room: I202

Subject Area: Strategic Foresight and Trend Analysis

Research

Strategic Foresight
Trends and weak singals
Scenario Planning and Business Wargaming
Design Thinking
Strategy and cultural products / Science-Fiction

Vita

Professional Career

since WiSe 2021: Professor of Strategic Foresight and Trend Analysis an der THI
2019 - 2021: Professor of Strategic Management and Leadership, ESB Business School, Reutlingen University
2015- 2019: Professor General Management, Hochschule Fresenius University of Applied Sciences, Munich, Design Department
2015 - 2016: Decision Strategies International, Inc., London & Munich, Associate Principal
2010 - 2015: Allianz SE, Munich, Strategy Consultant

Educational Background

Universität der Künste Berlin, PhD, Management, Foresight
Stellenbosch Business School, MPhil, Futures Studies
Universität Witten/Herdecke, Dipl. Oec., Management

Publications

2024

Schropp, Theresa, Jan Oliver Schwarz und Fabian Buder, 2024. Corporate foresight in light of the COVID‐19 pandemic—The crisis as a driver? Futures & Foresight Science, e178. ISSN 2573-5152. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.178

2023

Koebe, Philipp, Tobias Schillings und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2023. How Superintelligence Affects Human Health: A Scenario Analysis. Journal of Futures Studies, 28(2), S. 79-99. ISSN 1027-6084. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.202312_28(2).0005

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, Bernhard Wach und René Rohrbeck, 2023. How to anchor design thinking in the future: Empirical evidence on the usage of strategic foresight in design thinking projects. Futures, 2023(149), 103137. ISSN 1873-6378. Verfügbar unter: doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2023.103137

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2023. Strategic Foresight: An Introductory Guide to Practice. London: Routledge. ISBN 9781003302735. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003302735

2022

Schwarz, Jan Oliver und Bernhard Wach, 2022. The usage of cultural products in design thinking: an assessment of an underestimated approach. The Design Journal, 25(1), S. 4-24. ISSN 1460-6925. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1080/14606925.2021.2005879

2021

Oriesek, Daniel F. und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2021. Winning the Uncertainty Game: Turning Strategic Intent into Results with Wargaming. London ; New York: Routledge. ISBN 978-0-367-85359-4. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780367853594

Oriesek, Daniel F. und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2021. Winning the Uncertainty Game: Turning Strategic Intent into Results with Wargaming. PM World Journal, X(VIII, August). ISSN 2330-4480. Verfügbar unter: https://pmworldlibrary.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/pmwj108-Aug2021-Oriesek-Schwarz-winning-the-uncertainty-game.pdf

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2021. From alternative pictures of the future to an organizational intervention: a commentary on Rowland and Spaniol. Futures & Foresight Science, 4(1), e105. ISSN 2573-5152. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.105

2020

Eller, Eric, Rupert Hofmann und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2020. The Customer Foresight Territory. Marketing Review St Gallen, 2020(3), S. 888-895. Verfügbar unter: https://imc.unisg.ch/shop/marketing-review-st-gallen-3-2020-customer-foresight/

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, René Rohrbeck und Bernhard Wach, 2020. Corporate foresight as a microfoundation of dynamic capabilities. Futures & Foresight Science, 2(2). ISSN 2573-5152. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.28

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2020. Revisiting Scenario Planning and Business Wargaming from an Open Strategy Perspective. World Futures Review, 12(3), S. 291-303. ISSN 2169-2793. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1177/1946756720953182

2019

Gordon, Adam, René Rohrbeck und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2019. Escaping the ‘Faster Horses’ Trap: Bridging Strategic Foresight and Design-Based Innovation. Technology Innovation Management Review, 9(8), S. 30-42. ISSN 1927-0321. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.22215/timreview/1259

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, Camelia Ram und René Rohrbeck, 2019. Combining scenario planning and business wargaming to better anticipate future competitive dynamics. Futures, 105, S. 133-142. ISSN 1873-6378. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2018.10.001

2016

Müller, Adrian W. und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2016. Assessing the functions and dimensions of visualizations in foresight. Foresight, 18(1), S. 76-90. ISSN 1463-6689. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-04-2014-0027

2014

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2014. The ‘Narrative Turn’ in developing foresight: Assessing how cultural products can assist organisations in detecting trends. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2015(90, Part B), S. 510-513. ISSN 0040-1625. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.024

2013

Rohrbeck, René und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2013. The value contribution of strategic foresight: Insights from an empirical study of large European companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(8), S. 1593-1606. ISSN 0040-1625. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.01.004

Schwarz, Jan Oliver und Franz Liebl, 2013. Cultural products and their implications for business models: Why science fiction needs socio-cultural fiction. Futures, 2013(50), S. 66-73. ISSN 0016-3287. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.03.006

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, Rixa Kroehl und Heiko A. von der Gracht, 2013. Novels and novelty in trend research — Using novels to perceive weak signals and transfer frames of reference. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2014(84), S. 66-73. ISSN 1873-5509. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.007

von Groddeck, Victoria und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2013. Perceiving megatrends as empty signifiers: A discourse-theoretical interpretation of trend management. Futures, 2013(47), S. 28-37. ISSN 0016-3287. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.01.004

2011

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2011. Ex ante strategy evaluation: the case for business wargaming. Business Strategy Series, 12(3), S. 122-135. ISSN 1751-5637. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1108/17515631111130095

2009

Liebl, Franz und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2009. Normality of the future: Trend diagnosis for strategic foresight. Futures, 42(4), S. 313-327. ISSN 0016-3287. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.017

Oriesek, Daniel F. und Jan Oliver Schwarz, 2009. Business Wargaming: Unternehmenswert schaffen und schützen. Wiesbaden: Gabler. ISBN 978-3-8349-1879-6. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-8349-8288-9

2007

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2007. Assessing the future of futures studies in management. Futures, 40(3), S. 237-246. ISSN 0016-3287. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2007.08.018

2005

Schwarz, Jan Oliver, 2005. Pitfalls in implementing a strategic early warning system. Foresight, 7(4), S. 22-30. ISSN 1463-6689. Verfügbar unter: https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680510611813